INDYFINANCE
2026-10-08 UTC
 

Weekly Strategic Recap

The threads that ran across the week rather than a single session — what the market actually repriced, and what it left unresolved.

  1. WEEKLY RECAP28 Sept 2026 – 05 Oct 2026

    The Week Yields Ran the Market: 2002-Era Highs, a $2 Trillion AI Listing, and a Safety Scare at OpenAI

    One number defined the week, and it was not a stock price. Government bond yields on three continents pushed to levels not seen in more than two decades: the 30-year US Treasury yield hit its highest since 2002 on Monday, the 10-year follow

  2. WEEKLY RECAP21 Sept 2026 – 28 Sept 2026

    The Week the Bond Market Took Charge: Yields Top 5% as AI Mania and Iran Diplomacy Pull in Opposite Directions

    For four sessions this week, equity investors behaved as though two separate markets were operating side by side. One was driven by artificial intelligence, where Meta's new "Muse" agent set off a chip rally that carried Arm up 13%, Intel u

  3. WEEKLY RECAP14 Sept 2026 – 21 Sept 2026

    The Week the Fed Hiked: Rates to 3.75%-4%, Yields at 2007 Highs, and a Market That Rallied Anyway

    The defining event of the week was a Federal Reserve rate hike — the first since 2023 — delivered by unanimous vote and lifting the benchmark to a 3.75%-4% range. That single decision reorganised nearly every other story on the desk. Going

  4. WEEKLY RECAP31 Aug 2026 – 07 Sept 2026

    Oil, Bonds and the Fed: A Week When Three Shocks Collided

    The last week of August and first days of September 2026 delivered a market driven by three forces pulling in the same direction: a widening US-Iran military confrontation that lifted crude from the mid-$80s toward $97 a barrel, a global bo

  5. WEEKLY RECAP24 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026

    The Week the Cheap Money Story Broke: Rate-Hike Bets Return, AI Turns to Debt, and Good Earnings Stop Paying

    The defining shift of the week arrived at the end of it. For four sessions markets traded as though the direction of interest rates was a settled matter and the only question was timing. Then Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole add

  6. WEEKLY RECAP17 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026

    The Week the Bond Market Wrote the Script: $40 Trillion, a Duration Rout, and an AI Trade Financing Itself on Credit

    For four sessions this week, the story that mattered was not earnings, not the Federal Reserve, and not even artificial intelligence. It was the price of long-dated government debt. Bund yields pierced their 2011 highs on Tuesday, long-end

  7. WEEKLY RECAP10 Aug 2026 – 17 Aug 2026

    Disinflation Confirmed, Conviction Withheld: The AI Trade Splits Along Balance-Sheet Lines

    The week's macro question was answered and then promptly set aside. July CPI landed in line — headline up 0.1%, core 0.2%, the annual rate at 3.4% — and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee followed with the most constructive read on disin