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Trade and Sanctions Risk Re-Prices as Brazil Opens Reciprocity Case and Treasury Escalates on Iran

Brasília launches a formal reciprocity process against US tariffs while Treasury Secretary Bessent signals measures against Iran 'never seen' before, layering fresh geopolitical premium onto commodity and EM risk.

Brazil has initiated a reciprocity process in response to US tariffs, opening a second front in the trade dispute cycle. Simultaneously, US Treasury signaled unprecedented enforcement measures against Iran, a combination that raises energy and emerging-market risk premia.

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