MARKET REPORT

Gold holds near seven-week low as rising Fed hike bets outweigh oil's advance

Gold steadied after a 4% drop while oil extended gains on a U.S.-Iran standoff that is overshadowing Saudi supply.

Executive takeaway

Gold stabilized near a seven-week low following a 4% slide as traders raised bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike, even as oil kept climbing on Iran-related supply concerns.

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Gold and oil diverge on rate bets versus Iran risk. Gold has slid toward a seven-week low on rising Fed rate-hike expectations while crude oil keeps climbing on U.S.-Iran supply fears, showing the two commodities responding to opposite forces.

Gold and oil diverge on rate bets versus Iran risk

Gold has slid toward a seven-week low on rising Fed rate-hike expectations while crude oil keeps climbing on U.S.-Iran supply fears, showing the two commodities responding to opposite forces.

Live prices for gold futures and WTI crude futures.

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<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/gold-holds-near-seven-week-low-as-rising-fed-hike-bets-outweigh-oil-s-advance"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/gold-holds-near-seven-week-low-as-rising-fed-hike-bets-outweigh-oil-s-advance/graphic.svg" alt="Gold and oil diverge on rate bets versus Iran risk" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>Gold and oil diverge on rate bets versus Iran risk — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/gold-holds-near-seven-week-low-as-rising-fed-hike-bets-outweigh-oil-s-advance">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
Gold prices steadied near a seven-week low in trading tied to the September 28 session after the metal had already fallen 4%, according to Investing.com. The move followed rising bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, which tends to pressure gold because higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Oil moved in the opposite direction, extending its gains as a standoff between the United States and Iran overshadowed the potential for increased flows of crude from Saudi Arabia. The divergence highlights how the two commodities are currently responding to different forces: gold to interest-rate expectations, oil to geopolitical supply risk. What remains unresolved is whether the Fed follows through on the rate hike that markets are now pricing in, and how a resolution or escalation of the U.S.-Iran situation would affect the Saudi supply picture that oil traders are currently discounting.
What would change this view

This would need revision if the Federal Reserve holds rates steady at its next meeting rather than delivering the hike markets are currently pricing in.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.