MARKET REPORT

NAND Price Growth Set to Cool to 10-15% This Quarter After 70% Surge

TrendForce's forecast implies the memory chip boom that lifted Sandisk is decelerating sharply, not reversing.

Executive takeaway

TrendForce projects NAND flash memory prices will rise 10% to 15% this quarter, a sharp slowdown from the roughly 70% jump Sandisk rode over the prior period.

Newsroom graphic
NAND price growth decelerates sharply quarter to quarter. NAND flash memory prices rose an estimated 70% in the prior quarter, the boost behind Sandisk's recent results, but TrendForce forecasts growth will slow to just 10-15% this quarter.

NAND price growth decelerates sharply quarter to quarter

NAND flash memory prices rose an estimated 70% in the prior quarter, the boost behind Sandisk's recent results, but TrendForce forecasts growth will slow to just 10-15% this quarter.

The Motley Fool — Sandisk Rode an Estimated 70% Jump in NAND Prices. TrendForce Sees 10% to 15% This Quarter.

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<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/nand-price-growth-set-to-cool-to-10-15-this-quarter-after-70-surge"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/nand-price-growth-set-to-cool-to-10-15-this-quarter-after-70-surge/graphic.svg" alt="NAND price growth decelerates sharply quarter to quarter" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>NAND price growth decelerates sharply quarter to quarter — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/nand-price-growth-set-to-cool-to-10-15-this-quarter-after-70-surge">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
Sandisk's recent earnings benefited from an estimated 70% jump in NAND memory prices, but TrendForce now forecasts price growth of just 10% to 15% for the current quarter. NAND is the flash memory used in storage devices, and its pricing swings directly hit chipmakers' margins. The deceleration matters because analyst estimates for memory makers were built on the steep part of the price curve. A slower rate of price increases does not mean prices are falling, but it does mean the extraordinary margin expansion of recent quarters is unlikely to repeat at the same pace. What is unresolved is how quickly earnings estimates for Sandisk and peers will be revised to reflect the new trajectory, and whether the 10% to 15% figure holds or slips further as the quarter progresses.
What would change this view

If TrendForce's next quarterly update shows NAND price growth falling below 10% or reversing to declines, it would confirm the boom is ending rather than merely slowing.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.