Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) research: valuation against peers, fundamentals over time, risk and news coverage

Guidance reliability · TXNmethodology·all companies

Guides conservatively — lands inside its own range but in the upper half of it, averaging +5.4% against the midpoint across 30 forecasts.

n = 30 resolved forecasts · Q4 FY2022 to Q2 FY2026 · 2 still outstanding

Pattern
conservatively
30 resolved
Avg. signed deviation
+1.4%
outside its own range
Avg. vs midpoint
+5.4%
where in the range it lands
Avg. range width
12.6%
room it leaves itself
Above guidance11In line19

Next report expected 20 Oct 2026 (Q3 FY2026) — Estimated from the issuer's own filing history: FY2025Q3 results were released on 2025-10-21. source

The record — 32 forecastsevery figure sourced
Every forecast TXN management issued in its own earnings releases, with the outcome the company later reported and a link to both source documents.
PeriodMeasureGuidedIssuedReportedLandedDeviationVerdictSources
Q3 FY2026EPS$2.23–$2.572026-07-22PENDINGguidance
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $5.65 billion to $6.15 billion and earnings per share between $2.23 and $2.57.
Q3 FY2026Revenue$5.65–$6.15bn2026-07-22PENDINGguidance
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $5.65 billion to $6.15 billion and earnings per share between $2.23 and $2.57.
Q2 FY2026EPS$1.77–$2.052026-04-22$2.14+4.7%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $5.00 billion to $5.40 billion and earnings per share between $1.77 and $2.05.
Q2 FY2026Revenue$5.00–$5.40bn2026-04-22$5.46bn+1.2%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $5.00 billion to $5.40 billion and earnings per share between $1.77 and $2.05.
Q1 FY2026EPS$1.22–$1.482026-01-27$1.68+14.8%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.32 billion to $4.68 billion and earnings per share between $1.22 and $1.48.
Q1 FY2026Revenue$4.32–$4.68bn2026-01-27$4.83bn+3.2%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.32 billion to $4.68 billion and earnings per share between $1.22 and $1.48.
Q4 FY2025EPS$1.13–$1.392025-10-21$1.270.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.22 billion to $4.58 billion and earnings per share between $1.13 and $1.39.
Q4 FY2025Revenue$4.22–$4.58bn2025-10-21$4.42bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.22 billion to $4.58 billion and earnings per share between $1.13 and $1.39.
Q3 FY2025EPS$1.36–$1.602025-07-22$1.480.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.45 billion to $4.80 billion and earnings per share between $1.36 and $1.60, which does not include changes related to recently enacted U.S. tax legislation.
Q3 FY2025Revenue$4.45–$4.80bn2025-07-22$4.74bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.45 billion to $4.80 billion and earnings per share between $1.36 and $1.60, which does not include changes related to recently enacted U.S. tax legislation.
Q2 FY2025EPS$1.21–$1.472025-04-23$1.410.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.21 and $1.47.
Q2 FY2025Revenue$4.17–$4.53bn2025-04-23$4.45bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.21 and $1.47.
Q1 FY2025EPS$0.94–$1.162025-01-23$1.28+11.4%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.74 billion to $4.06 billion and earnings per share between $0.94 and $1.16.
Q1 FY2025Revenue$3.74–$4.06bn2025-01-23$4.07bn+0.2%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.74 billion to $4.06 billion and earnings per share between $0.94 and $1.16.
Q4 FY2024EPS$1.07–$1.292024-10-22$1.30+0.8%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.70 billion to $4.00 billion and earnings per share between $1.07 and $1.29.
Q4 FY2024Revenue$3.70–$4.00bn2024-10-22$4.01bn+0.2%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.70 billion to $4.00 billion and earnings per share between $1.07 and $1.29.
Q3 FY2024EPS$1.24–$1.482024-07-23$1.470.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.94 billion to $4.26 billion and earnings per share between $1.24 and $1.48.
Q3 FY2024Revenue$3.94–$4.26bn2024-07-23$4.15bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.94 billion to $4.26 billion and earnings per share between $1.24 and $1.48.
Q2 FY2024EPS$1.05–$1.252024-04-23$1.220.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.65 billion to $3.95 billion and earnings per share between $1.05 and $1.25.
Q2 FY2024Revenue$3.65–$3.95bn2024-04-23$3.82bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.65 billion to $3.95 billion and earnings per share between $1.05 and $1.25.
Q1 FY2024EPS$0.96–$1.162024-01-23$1.20+3.8%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.45 billion to $3.75 billion and earnings per share between $0.96 and $1.16.
Q1 FY2024Revenue$3.45–$3.75bn2024-01-23$3.66bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.45 billion to $3.75 billion and earnings per share between $0.96 and $1.16.
Q4 FY2023EPS$1.35–$1.572023-10-24$1.490.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.93 billion to $4.27 billion and earnings per share between $1.35 and $1.57.
Q4 FY2023Revenue$3.93–$4.27bn2023-10-24$4.08bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $3.93 billion to $4.27 billion and earnings per share between $1.35 and $1.57.
Q3 FY2023EPS$1.68–$1.922023-07-25$1.850.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.36 billion to $4.74 billion and earnings per share between $1.68 and $1.92.
Q3 FY2023Revenue$4.36–$4.74bn2023-07-25$4.53bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's third quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.36 billion to $4.74 billion and earnings per share between $1.68 and $1.92.
Q2 FY2023EPS$1.62–$1.882023-04-25$1.870.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.62 and $1.88.
Q2 FY2023Revenue$4.17–$4.53bn2023-04-25$4.53bn0.0%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's second quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.62 and $1.88.
Q1 FY2023EPS$1.64–$1.902023-01-24$1.850.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.64 and $1.90.
Q1 FY2023Revenue$4.17–$4.53bn2023-01-24$4.38bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's first quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion and earnings per share between $1.64 and $1.90.
Q4 FY2022EPS$1.83–$2.112022-10-25$2.13+1.0%ABOVEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.40 billion to $4.80 billion and earnings per share between $1.83 and $2.11.
Q4 FY2022Revenue$4.40–$4.80bn2022-10-25$4.67bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
TI's fourth quarter outlook is for revenue in the range of $4.40 billion to $4.80 billion and earnings per share between $1.83 and $2.11.

Every figure above is read from the company’s own filings. “Guidance” links to the 8-K exhibit that issued the forecast; “result” links to the exhibit in which the company reported the outcome. Nothing here is an analyst estimate. How this is measured.

Coverage universe: S&P 100. This is a factual record of what a company forecast and what it then reported. It is not investment advice, and it is not a view on the company’s prospects — we publish the measurement and draw no conclusion from it.

TXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated
USD
253.34
-2.90% today
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Beta
52-week range153.33332.28
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