News Archive

Every report the desk has filed, searchable by full text, topic, format, symbol and date range.

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Goldman Sees Fed on Hold in September as Dollar Stabilizes and S&P 500 Prints Record

Wall Street's base case shifts to a no-move September barring a dramatic data surprise, with the greenback's slide moderating into North American hours and equities grinding to fresh highs before futures softened.

Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to stand pat at its September meeting absent an outsized data shock, anchoring rate expectations at a moment when the S&P 500 has already registered an all-time high. The dollar has extended losses but is stabilizing, and Monday futures slipped modestly — a pattern consistent with positioning fatigue rather than a change in macro regime.

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Retail Earnings Set to Deliver Verdict on the American Consumer

Walmart and Target results this week become the market's cleanest read on household resilience as persistent inflation, food-aid cuts and softening data surprises converge on the demand outlook.

Investors are positioning ahead of Walmart and Target earnings, viewed as the definitive checkpoint on U.S. consumer health. The reports land alongside a run of downside macro data surprises pressuring the dollar's momentum and mounting political friction over federal food-assistance reductions.

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Dollar Mixed, Gold Anchored Above $4,400 as Markets Brace for July CPI

Currency and bullion markets settle into a holding pattern ahead of a US inflation print that will shape the Federal Reserve's autumn policy path, with gold's historic price plateau signaling persistent hedging demand.

The US dollar traded mixed and gold held above $4,400 an ounce as investors positioned defensively ahead of the July consumer price index release. The muted cross-asset action reflects a market unwilling to take directional risk into a data point widely viewed as decisive for the Fed's next move.

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Dollar, Asia FX Stall as U.S. CPI Looms; Hormuz Tensions Reignite Crude Risk Premium

Currency markets tread water into the U.S. inflation print while renewed friction around the Strait of Hormuz lifts oil, leaving macro desks positioned for a two-sided volatility event.

Asian currencies and the dollar were rangebound ahead of the U.S. consumer price report, with traders unwilling to commit ahead of a print that will shape Federal Reserve expectations. Simultaneously, escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude higher, reintroducing an energy-driven inflation channel just as payroll revisions raise questions about underlying labor market momentum.

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Bond Market Becomes the Swing Factor for Equity Optimism

Strategists question whether fixed income will validate the revived risk appetite in stocks, as low dollar hedge ratios and easing financial conditions complicate the cross-asset picture.

With equities pricing renewed optimism, attention has shifted to whether the bond market will confirm the move. Commentary on unusually low dollar hedge ratios among foreign holders raises the risk of a self-reinforcing currency-and-rates episode, while crypto participants cite easing financial conditions as supportive.

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