Policy decisions, minutes and speeches from the Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ and their peers — and how the market reprices around them.
100 report(s) in the archive
Hang Seng sank to an oversold reading near 23,876 even as Japanese shares jumped on hopes the Federal Reserve will hold off raising rates.
Asian markets rose broadly after weak US jobs data lowered expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, with Japanese shares leading gains.
Traders scaled back bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes after a weaker-than-expected jobs report.
U.S. stock futures rose and gold rebounded from its weekly slide as weak jobs data pushed traders to pare back expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Warsh described the Fed's move as removing 'a dose of accommodation,' language that raises the question of whether further hikes are coming this year.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh characterized the central bank's first rate hike since 2023 as removing "a dose of accommodation," a phrase that signals a shift toward tighter monetary policy.
The Treasury secretary's comments come as a separate analysis argues yields could stay elevated for structural reasons beyond the Federal Reserve's control.
Treasury Secretary Bessent said rising yields reflect a global pattern rather than a US-specific problem, pushing back on alarm over borrowing costs.
Analysts point to five separate factors that could let the Fed raise rates despite a soft September payrolls print.
Despite a weak September jobs report, several analysts argue the Federal Reserve still has room to tighten policy, citing factors beyond the headline payrolls number.
The bank's forecast implies further dollar strength against the euro through the end of 2026.
Bank of America projects the euro will fall to $1.15 against the dollar by the end of 2026, citing broader market risks.
Traders priced in fewer Fed rate hikes after hiring cooled more than expected, pulling yields down and lifting Wall Street at the open.
Wall Street opened higher on October 2 as a softer September payrolls report reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes and pushed Treasury yields lower.
Logan said the Fed needs to raise rates by '50 basis points or more' to tame inflation that remains stubbornly high.
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the central bank needs to raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points to curb inflation that has proven more persistent than expected.
Kashkari said more increases are likely needed but was unsure about October, while Jefferson said there is no urgency to act again soon.
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said more rate hikes are probably needed but he is unsure whether one should come this month, while Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said he sees no urgency to raise rates further.
The shift comes as fresh inflation data shows the Fed has now missed its 2% target for 66 straight months.
Goldman Sachs has moved its forecast for a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike to December, Investing.com reported, as new price data extended the Fed's inflation-target miss to 66 months.
The metal's slide last month marked one of its sharpest monthly declines in years before stabilizing as inflation data reduced rate-hike expectations.
Gold prices were little changed after falling 6% in September, as a softer-than-expected U.S. PCE inflation reading reduced bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Paramount's debt sale to fund its Warner Bros purchase became the latest test of how much borrowing the market can absorb at today's rates.
Yields on U.S. government debt have risen so fast in recent months that traders are calling it one of the sharpest jumps in a generation, and corporate borrowers are already feeling the squeeze.
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose less than forecast in August, yet Treasury yields held steady while Goldman Sachs shifted its rate-hike forecast to December.
Core PCE inflation rose 0.2% in August, below economist expectations, but bond yields did not fall in response, even as Goldman Sachs pushed its Fed rate-hike forecast back to December.
Consumer spending stayed strong even as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge undershot expectations, reinforcing bets on a soft landing.
US inflation for August rose less than economists expected while consumer spending remained robust, and major indexes moved mostly higher in the September 30 session.
Wagers on an October rate cut fell sharply even as bonds head for what one wire called a 'cruel quarter,' with the yen rebounding and the dollar sitting near a two-month high.
Bets on an October Federal Reserve rate cut fell sharply on soft economic data and dovish comments from officials, even as government bonds close out a rough quarter and the dollar holds near a two-month high.
Regional manufacturers say they "can't do any planning" just as a Federal Reserve governor flags fresh inflationary pressure ahead.
The Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey showed uniformly negative sentiment among respondents, coinciding with Fed Governor Lisa Cook's warning of further inflationary pressures ahead.
July minutes reveal policymakers debated moving faster on rates even as Japan's corporate services inflation hit a two-year high.
Bank of Japan minutes from July showed board members debated the need for faster interest rate hikes, a discussion that comes as Japan's corporate services inflation reached a two-year high.
Rising crude prices and firmer bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes combined to pull bullion out of its recent range, while lifting the dollar.
Gold fell below $4,300 an ounce as oil prices climbed on the Iran-U.S. standoff and traders raised bets on additional Fed tightening.
The move higher in long-term borrowing costs came after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, with further hikes expected as soon as October.
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed back above 5% following the Federal Reserve's latest rate increase, with another hike anticipated in October.
A stronger-than-expected payrolls print could add pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise rates again in October, according to MarketWatch's reading of the setup.
Treasury strategists are watching the upcoming jobs report as a potential trigger for a fresh climb in 10-year and 30-year yields, with a hot print seen as adding pressure on the Fed to hike again in October.