BREAKING STORYBEARISH

Yen Breaks Past ¥160, Japanese Yields Hit 30-Year High

Hawkish comments from Fed candidate Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole gathering pushed traders to price in more monetary tightening, hitting Japanese bonds and the currency together.

Executive takeaway

The yen weakened past ¥160 per dollar and Japanese government bond yields rose to their highest level in three decades after investors raised bets on tighter monetary policy following the Jackson Hole meeting.

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Yen slides through ¥160 after Jackson Hole. USD/JPY's break above ¥160 marks its weakest level in the recent run, coinciding with hawkish Fed commentary at Jackson Hole and a jump in Japanese bond yields.

Yen slides through ¥160 after Jackson Hole

USD/JPY's break above ¥160 marks its weakest level in the recent run, coinciding with hawkish Fed commentary at Jackson Hole and a jump in Japanese bond yields.

Live USD/JPY price feed; move corroborated by Financial Times report on yen and JGB moves post-Jackson Hole.

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<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/yen-breaks-past-160-japanese-yields-hit-30-year-high"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/yen-breaks-past-160-japanese-yields-hit-30-year-high/graphic.svg" alt="Yen slides through ¥160 after Jackson Hole" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>Yen slides through ¥160 after Jackson Hole — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/yen-breaks-past-160-japanese-yields-hit-30-year-high">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
The Japanese yen fell through ¥160 per dollar and Japanese government bond yields climbed to their highest level in thirty years in the session after the Jackson Hole central-banking meeting, according to the Financial Times. The moves followed hawkish remarks attributed to Kevin Warsh, a candidate discussed in connection with future Federal Reserve leadership, which investors read as raising the odds of continued monetary tightening. The sell-off in both Japanese bonds and the yen matters because it reverses a long period in which Japan's ultra-low rates made the yen a funding currency for trades in other assets. Rising Japanese yields raise the cost of unwinding those trades and can force selling elsewhere. What remains unresolved is whether the Bank of Japan will respond directly to the currency weakness or the yield rise, and how much further Warsh's remarks will move actual Fed policy expectations rather than just market pricing.
What would change this view

If the yen recovers back below ¥160 per dollar or Japanese 10-year yields pull back from their three-decade high in the days following this report, the tightening narrative described here would need to be revisited.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.