Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) research: valuation against peers, fundamentals over time, risk and news coverage

Guidance reliability · LLYmethodology·all companies

Only 0 resolved quarters on record — below the 6-period threshold, so no verdict is published.

n = 0 resolved forecasts · 55 on record, none yet resolved

Insufficient sample — no verdict published. LLY has 0 resolved forecasts on record, below the 6 needed before we will characterise a management team’s forecasting. The record below is published in full; the company is excluded from every ranking on this site until it clears the threshold.

Next report expected 29 Oct 2026 (Q3 FY2026) — Estimated from the issuer's own filing history: FY2025Q3 results were released on 2025-10-30. source

The record — 55 forecasts, 14 scoredevery figure sourced
Every forecast LLY management issued in its own earnings releases, with the outcome the company later reported and a link to both source documents.
PeriodMeasureGuidedIssuedReportedLandedDeviationVerdictSources
FY 2026revisedEPS (adj.)$35.50–$36.502026-08-05PENDINGguidance
Earnings per Share(1)(3)(4) $35.50 to $37.00 $35.50 to $36.50
FY 2026revisedRevenue$85.00–$87.00bn2026-08-05PENDINGguidance
Revenue $82 to $85 billion $85 to $87 billion
FY 2026revisedEPS (adj.)$35.50–$37.002026-04-30PENDINGguidance
Increased 2026 full-year revenue guidance to be in the range of $82.0 billion to $85.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS guidance to be in the range of $35.50 to $37.00.
FY 2026revisedRevenue$82.00–$85.00bn2026-04-30PENDINGguidance
Increased 2026 full-year revenue guidance to be in the range of $82.0 billion to $85.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS guidance to be in the range of $35.50 to $37.00.
FY 2026EPS (adj.)$33.50–$35.002026-02-04PENDINGguidance
Earnings per Share(2)(3)(4) $33.50 to $35.00
FY 2026Revenue$80.00–$83.00bn2026-02-04PENDINGguidance
Revenue $80 to $83 billion
FY 2025revisedEPS (adj.)$23.00–$23.702025-10-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance has been increased to be in the range of $21.80 to $22.50 on a reported basis and $23.00 to $23.70 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025revisedEPS$21.80–$22.502025-10-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance has been increased to be in the range of $21.80 to $22.50 on a reported basis and $23.00 to $23.70 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025revisedRevenue$63.00–$63.50bn2025-10-30PENDINGguidance
The company has increased full-year revenue guidance to be in the range of $63.0 billion to $63.5 billion, primarily driven by strong underlying business performance across the portfolio and foreign exchange rates.
FY 2025revisedEPS (adj.)$21.75–$23.002025-08-07PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the range of $20.85 to $22.10 on a reported basis and $21.75 to $23.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025revisedEPS$20.85–$22.102025-08-07PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the range of $20.85 to $22.10 on a reported basis and $21.75 to $23.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025revisedRevenue$60.00–$62.00bn2025-08-07PENDINGguidance
Full year guidance increased to the range of $60.0 billion to $62.0 billion, primarily driven by strong underlying business performance across the portfolio and foreign exchange rates.
FY 2025revisedEPS (adj.)$20.78–$22.282025-05-01PENDINGguidance
Guidance for EPS for 2025 decreased to the range of $20.17 to $21.67 on a reported basis, driven by the acquired IPR&D charges and net losses on investments in equity securities and $20.78 to $22.28 on a non-GAAP basis, driven by the acquired IPR&D charges.
FY 2025revisedEPS$20.17–$21.672025-05-01PENDINGguidance
Guidance for EPS for 2025 decreased to the range of $20.17 to $21.67 on a reported basis, driven by the acquired IPR&D charges and net losses on investments in equity securities and $20.78 to $22.28 on a non-GAAP basis, driven by the acquired IPR&D charges.
FY 2025revisedRevenue$58.00–$61.00bn2025-05-01PENDINGguidance
The company reaffirms its previous 2025 revenue guidance and expects it to be between $58.0 billion and $61.0 billion.
FY 2025EPS (adj.)$22.50–$24.002025-02-06PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2025 is expected to be in the range of $22.05 to $23.55 on a reported basis and $22.50 to $24.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025EPS$22.05–$23.552025-02-06PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2025 is expected to be in the range of $22.05 to $23.55 on a reported basis and $22.50 to $24.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2025revisedRevenue$58.00–$61.00bn2025-02-06PENDINGguidance
The company anticipates 2025 revenue to be between $58.0 billion and $61.0 billion.
FY 2025Revenue$58.00–$61.00bn2025-01-14PENDINGguidance
The company anticipates 2025 revenue to be in the range of $58.0 billion to $61.0 billion, growth of 32% at the midpoint compared to expected 2024 revenue
FY 2024revisedEPS (adj.)$13.02–$13.522024-10-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance has been lowered to the ranges of $12.05 to $12.55 on a reported basis and $13.02 to $13.52 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedEPS$12.05–$12.552024-10-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance has been lowered to the ranges of $12.05 to $12.55 on a reported basis and $13.02 to $13.52 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedRevenue$45.40–$46.00bn2024-10-30PENDINGguidance
The company updated 2024 full-year revenue guidance to between $45.4 billion and $46.0 billion.
FY 2024revisedEPS (adj.)$16.10–$16.602024-08-08PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the ranges of $15.10 to $15.60 on a reported basis and $16.10 to $16.60 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedEPS$15.10–$15.602024-08-08PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the ranges of $15.10 to $15.60 on a reported basis and $16.10 to $16.60 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedRevenue$45.40–$46.60bn2024-08-08PENDINGguidance
2024 full-year revenue guidance increased by $3.0 billion to the range of $45.4 billion to $46.6 billion, primarily driven by the strong performance of Mounjaro and Zepbound, as well as the company's non-incretin medicines.
FY 2024revisedEPS (adj.)$13.50–$14.002024-04-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the range of $13.05 to $13.55 on a reported basis and $13.50 to $14.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedEPS$13.05–$13.552024-04-30PENDINGguidance
Based on these changes, EPS guidance increased to the range of $13.05 to $13.55 on a reported basis and $13.50 to $14.00 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024revisedRevenue$42.40–$43.60bn2024-04-30PENDINGguidance
2024 full-year revenue guidance increased by $2.0 billion to the range of $42.4 billion to $43.6 billion, primarily driven by the strong performance of Mounjaro and Zepbound and greater visibility into the company's production expansion for the remainder of the year.
FY 2024EPS (adj.)$12.20–$12.702024-02-06PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2024 is expected to be in the range of $11.80 to $12.30 on a reported basis and $12.20 to $12.70 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024EPS$11.80–$12.302024-02-06PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2024 is expected to be in the range of $11.80 to $12.30 on a reported basis and $12.20 to $12.70 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2024Revenue$40.40–$41.60bn2024-02-06PENDINGguidance
The company anticipates 2024 revenue to be in the range of $40.4 billion to $41.6 billion.
FY 2023revisedEPS (adj.)$6.50–$6.702023-11-02PENDINGguidance
2023 reported EPS guidance lowered to the range of $5.95 to $6.15 and non-GAAP EPS guidance lowered to the range of $6.50 to $6.70, both primarily driven by the acquired IPR&D charges incurred in Q3.
FY 2023revisedEPS$5.95–$6.152023-11-02PENDINGguidance
2023 reported EPS guidance lowered to the range of $5.95 to $6.15 and non-GAAP EPS guidance lowered to the range of $6.50 to $6.70, both primarily driven by the acquired IPR&D charges incurred in Q3.
FY 2023revisedRevenue$33.40–$33.90bn2023-11-02PENDINGguidance
Revenue guidance remains unchanged with the range of $33.4 to $33.9 billion.
FY 2023revisedEPS (adj.)$9.70–$9.902023-08-08PENDINGguidance
2023 reported EPS guidance raised $1.02 to the range of $9.20 to $9.40 and non-GAAP EPS guidance raised $1.05 to the range of $9.70 to $9.90.
FY 2023revisedEPS$9.20–$9.402023-08-08PENDINGguidance
2023 reported EPS guidance raised $1.02 to the range of $9.20 to $9.40 and non-GAAP EPS guidance raised $1.05 to the range of $9.70 to $9.90.
FY 2023revisedRevenue$33.40–$33.90bn2023-08-08PENDINGguidance
Revenue guidance increased by $2.2 billion to the range of $33.4 to $33.9 billion.
FY 2023revisedRevenue$30.30–$30.80bn2023-02-02PENDINGguidance
Revenue $30.3 to $30.8 billion Unchanged
FY 2023revisedEPS (adj.)$8.35–$8.552023-02-02PENDINGguidance
2023 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $7.90 to $8.10 on a reported basis and $8.35 to $8.55 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2023revisedEPS$7.90–$8.102023-02-02PENDINGguidance
2023 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $7.90 to $8.10 on a reported basis and $8.35 to $8.55 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2023EPS (adj.)$8.10–$8.302022-12-13PENDINGguidance
2023 EPS expected to be in the range of $7.65 to $7.85 on a reported basis and $8.10 to $8.30 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2023EPS$7.65–$7.852022-12-13PENDINGguidance
2023 EPS expected to be in the range of $7.65 to $7.85 on a reported basis and $8.10 to $8.30 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2023Revenue$30.30–$30.80bn2022-12-13PENDINGguidance
2023 revenue expected to be between $30.3 billion and $30.8 billion, driven by key growth products.
FY 2022revisedEPS (adj.)$7.70–$7.852022-12-13PENDINGguidance
Earnings per share (non-GAAP) $7.70 to $7.85 4% to 6%
FY 2022revisedEPS$6.50–$6.652022-12-13PENDINGguidance
Earnings per share (reported) $6.50 to $6.65 6% to 9%
FY 2022revisedRevenue$28.50–$29.00bn2022-12-13PENDINGguidance
Revenue $28.5 to $29.0 billion
FY 2022revisedRevenue$28.50–$29.00bn2022-11-01PENDINGguidance
The company now anticipates 2022 revenue to be between $28.5 billion and $29.0 billion.
FY 2022revisedEPS (adj.)$7.70–$7.852022-11-01PENDINGguidance
2022 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $6.50 to $6.65 on a reported basis and $7.70 to $7.85 on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of $0.67 of acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges.
FY 2022revisedEPS$6.50–$6.652022-11-01PENDINGguidance
2022 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $6.50 to $6.65 on a reported basis and $7.70 to $7.85 on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of $0.67 of acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges.
FY 2022revisedEPS (adj.)$7.90–$8.052022-08-04PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2022 is now expected to be in the range of $6.96 to $7.11 on a reported basis and $7.90 to $8.05 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2022revisedEPS$6.96–$7.112022-08-04PENDINGguidance
EPS for 2022 is now expected to be in the range of $6.96 to $7.11 on a reported basis and $7.90 to $8.05 on a non-GAAP basis.
FY 2022revisedRevenue$28.80–$29.30bn2022-08-04PENDINGguidance
The company still anticipates 2022 revenue to be between $28.8 billion and $29.3 billion.
FY 2022EPS (adj.)$8.15–$8.302022-04-28PENDINGguidance
2022 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $7.30 to $7.45 on a reported basis and $8.15 to $8.30 on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of $0.55 of acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges.
FY 2022EPS$7.30–$7.452022-04-28PENDINGguidance
2022 EPS guidance updated to be in the range of $7.30 to $7.45 on a reported basis and $8.15 to $8.30 on a non-GAAP basis, both inclusive of $0.55 of acquired IPR&D and development milestone charges.
FY 2022Revenue$28.80–$29.30bn2022-04-28PENDINGguidance
The company now anticipates 2022 revenue to be between $28.8 billion and $29.3 billion.

Every figure above is read from the company’s own filings. “Guidance” links to the 8-K exhibit that issued the forecast; “result” links to the exhibit in which the company reported the outcome. Nothing here is an analyst estimate. How this is measured.

Coverage universe: S&P 100. This is a factual record of what a company forecast and what it then reported. It is not investment advice, and it is not a view on the company’s prospects — we publish the measurement and draw no conclusion from it.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company
USD
1,160
+0.28% today
Market cap
P/E trailing
P/E forward
EV/EBITDA
Op margin
Rev growth
Div yield
Beta
52-week range714.591,280.34
Price navigator — LLY

No data in this window.

    What LLY trades with

    The themes this instrument belongs to, and the rest of what sits inside them — the peer set a screener gives you is statistical, this one is editorial.

    Obesity drugs & pharma

    The GLP-1 duopoly, the challengers, and the sector they have been carrying.

    INDY NEWS coverage of LLY0

    Every report in our own archive tagged with this symbol, newest first — fetched from the archive alongside the market data.

    Nothing filed on LLY yet. Search the archive for related coverage.

    Full archive search for LLY

    Every figure on this page is fetched and computed in your browser from free public sources — end-of-day prices and reported financials from Yahoo Finance's open endpoints, and our own archive for the coverage panel. Fundamental history on the free tier runs about four fiscal years and five quarters. Data is best-effort and unaudited; this is market research, not investment advice.