UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) research: valuation against peers, fundamentals over time, risk and news coverage

Guidance reliability · UNHmethodology·all companies

Only 5 resolved forecasts on record — below the 6-period threshold, so no verdict is published.

n = 5 resolved forecasts · FY 2024 to FY 2025 · 2 still outstanding

Insufficient sample — no verdict published. UNH has 5 resolved forecasts on record, below the 6 needed before we will characterise a management team’s forecasting. The record below is published in full; the company is excluded from every ranking on this site until it clears the threshold.

Pattern
Not enough resolved periods
5 resolved
Avg. signed deviation
−20.0%
outside its own range
Avg. vs midpoint
−20.8%
where in the range it lands
Avg. range width
1.8%
room it leaves itself
In line1Below guidance4

Next report expected 27 Oct 2026 (Q3 FY2026) — Estimated from the issuer's own filing history: FY2025Q3 results were released on 2025-10-28. source

The record — 17 forecasts, 7 scoredevery figure sourced
Every forecast UNH management issued in its own earnings releases, with the outcome the company later reported and a link to both source documents.
PeriodMeasureGuidedIssuedReportedLandedDeviationVerdictSources
FY 2026EPS (adj.)$19.50–$20.002026-07-16PENDINGguidance
Updated Full Year 2026 Earnings Outlook Range to $18.45 to $18.95 Per Share; Adjusted Earnings Range of $19.50 to $20.00 Per Share
FY 2026EPS$18.45–$18.952026-07-16PENDINGguidance
Updated Full Year 2026 Earnings Outlook Range to $18.45 to $18.95 Per Share; Adjusted Earnings Range of $19.50 to $20.00 Per Share
FY 2025revisedRevenue$445.50–$448.00bn2025-07-29$447.6bn0.0%IN LINEguidance · result
Full Year 2025 Revenue Outlook of $445.5 Billion to $448.0 Billion
FY 2025revisedEPS (adj.)$26.00–$26.502025-04-17$16.35−36.8%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group revised its 2025 performance outlook established in December 2024 to net earnings of $24.65 to $25.15 per share and adjusted earnings of $26 to $26.50 per share.
FY 2025revisedEPS$24.65–$25.152025-04-17$13.23−45.9%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group revised its 2025 performance outlook established in December 2024 to net earnings of $24.65 to $25.15 per share and adjusted earnings of $26 to $26.50 per share.
FY 2025revisedEPS (adj.)$29.50–$30.002025-01-16$16.35−44.2%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group affirmed the 2025 performance outlook established in December 2024, including revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share, adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share and cash flow from operations of $32 billion to $33 billion.
FY 2025revisedEPS$28.15–$28.652025-01-16$13.23−52.5%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group affirmed the 2025 performance outlook established in December 2024, including revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share, adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share and cash flow from operations of $32 billion to $33 billion.
FY 2025revisedRevenue$450.00–$455.00bn2025-01-16$447.6bn−0.5%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group affirmed the 2025 performance outlook established in December 2024, including revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share, adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share and cash flow from operations of $32 billion to $33 billion.
FY 2025EPS (adj.)$29.50–$30.002024-12-03$16.35−44.2%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group will introduce its 2025 outlook which includes revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share and adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share.
FY 2025EPS$28.15–$28.652024-12-03$13.23−52.5%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group will introduce its 2025 outlook which includes revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share and adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share.
FY 2025Revenue$450.00–$455.00bn2024-12-03$447.6bn−0.5%BELOWguidance · result
UnitedHealth Group will introduce its 2025 outlook which includes revenues of $450 billion to $455 billion, net earnings of $28.15 to $28.65 per share and adjusted net earnings of $29.50 to $30.00 per share.
FY 2024revisedEPS (adj.)$27.50–$27.752024-12-03$27.660.0%IN LINEguidance · result
As announced in the third quarter earnings release, UnitedHealth Group 2024 net earnings are expected to be $15.50 to $15.75 per share and adjusted net earnings $27.50 to $27.75 per share.
FY 2024revisedEPS$15.50–$15.752024-12-03$15.510.0%IN LINEguidance · result
As announced in the third quarter earnings release, UnitedHealth Group 2024 net earnings are expected to be $15.50 to $15.75 per share and adjusted net earnings $27.50 to $27.75 per share.
FY 2024revisedEPS (adj.)$27.50–$27.752024-10-15$27.660.0%IN LINEguidance · result
The company’s adjusted net earnings outlook of $27.50 to $27.75 continues within the $27.50 to $28.00 range established nearly a year ago, even as it absorbs an estimated $0.75 per share of business disruption impacts for the affected Change Healthcare services, which have increased ~$0.10 per share from the estimate provided last quarter.
FY 2024revisedEPS$15.50–$15.752024-10-15$15.510.0%IN LINEguidance · result
The company’s full year 2024 net earnings outlook of $15.50 to $15.75 per share reflects the South America operations disposition activities reported in the first half of 2024 and Change Healthcare cyberattack impacts.
FY 2024EPS (adj.)$27.50–$28.002024-07-16$27.660.0%IN LINEguidance · result
The company affirmed the adjusted net earnings outlook of $27.50 to $28.00 per share established at its November 2023 Investor Conference.
FY 2024EPS$15.95–$16.402024-07-16$15.51−2.7%BELOWguidance · result
The company updated its full year 2024 net earnings outlook to $15.95 to $16.40 per share to reflect the classification to held for sale of its remaining South America operations and the estimated Change Healthcare cyberattack impacts.

Every figure above is read from the company’s own filings. “Guidance” links to the 8-K exhibit that issued the forecast; “result” links to the exhibit in which the company reported the outcome. Nothing here is an analyst estimate. How this is measured.

Coverage universe: S&P 100. This is a factual record of what a company forecast and what it then reported. It is not investment advice, and it is not a view on the company’s prospects — we publish the measurement and draw no conclusion from it.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
USD
396.30
+1.77% today
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Op margin
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Beta
52-week range259.02436.35
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