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2026-10-08 UTC
 

News Archive

Every report the desk has filed, searchable by full text, topic, format, symbol and date range.

Filtering:^TNX

Dollar Mixed, Gold Anchored Above $4,400 as Markets Brace for July CPI

Currency and bullion markets settle into a holding pattern ahead of a US inflation print that will shape the Federal Reserve's autumn policy path, with gold's historic price plateau signaling persistent hedging demand.

The US dollar traded mixed and gold held above $4,400 an ounce as investors positioned defensively ahead of the July consumer price index release. The muted cross-asset action reflects a market unwilling to take directional risk into a data point widely viewed as decisive for the Fed's next move.

SPECIAL REPORT
Central BanksInflationCommoditiesDX-Y.NYBGC=FGSPCTNXRead report →

Dollar, Asia FX Stall as U.S. CPI Looms; Hormuz Tensions Reignite Crude Risk Premium

Currency markets tread water into the U.S. inflation print while renewed friction around the Strait of Hormuz lifts oil, leaving macro desks positioned for a two-sided volatility event.

Asian currencies and the dollar were rangebound ahead of the U.S. consumer price report, with traders unwilling to commit ahead of a print that will shape Federal Reserve expectations. Simultaneously, escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude higher, reintroducing an energy-driven inflation channel just as payroll revisions raise questions about underlying labor market momentum.

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InflationEnergyUnited StatesDX-Y.NYBCL=FBZ=FGSPCTNXRead report →

Precious Metals Miners Bank Record Cash Flow as Shelter Inflation Clouds the Bull Case

Hecla Mining reports record free cash flow and a debt-free balance sheet alongside i-80 Gold's quarterly update, even as strategists warn that persistent shelter inflation could delay the rate cuts underpinning the gold trade.

Hecla Mining posted record free cash flow with a debt-free balance sheet, and i-80 Gold reported quarterly results, capping a period of exceptional operating leverage for precious metals producers. But the macro backdrop is turning ambiguous: analysis flagged this session argues that sticky shelter inflation in the forthcoming CPI print signals inflation persistence, which would push out the Federal Reserve easing path that has been the primary driver of the bullion rally.

SPECIAL REPORT
InflationIndustrials & MaterialsCommoditiesHLIAU.TOGLDGLLTNXRead report →

Norway's Oil Fund Discloses $1.22 Billion SpaceX Position as Sovereign Capital Chases Private Tech

The world's largest sovereign wealth fund reveals a material unlisted stake in Elon Musk's launch and satellite operator, underscoring how the migration of value creation into private markets is reshaping index-benchmarked mandates.

Norges Bank Investment Management has disclosed a $1.22bn holding in SpaceX. The position highlights the structural problem facing passive-benchmarked giants as the largest technology franchises delay or forgo public listings.

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M&A and DealsEnergyEuropeGSPCTNXTSLAARKKRead report →

Treasuries Lag the World While Gold Extends Its Reset Against Equities

U.S. government debt has underperformed every major sovereign bond index except Japan since the inauguration, undermining the administration's rate-cost narrative and reinforcing gold's structural bid against the S&P 500.

A scorecard of Treasury performance since January shows U.S. sovereign debt trailing nearly all major global government bond indices, complicating the Treasury Secretary's borrowing-cost narrative. The relative-value gap is feeding directly into the gold trade, where fund commentary and strategist work argue the metal's outperformance versus the S&P 500 has considerable room left to run.

SPECIAL REPORTBEARISH
Rates & BondsEquitiesCommoditiesTNXGLDGC=FGSPCTLTRead report →

Warsh Fed Signals 2% Orthodoxy as Trump Confirms Direct Contact With Chair

President says he spoke with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh last week as strategists question whether a debt-laden Treasury can tolerate genuine price stability; PCE methodology critique adds to credibility debate

President Trump disclosed direct contact with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, sharpening focus on central bank independence just as Warsh recommits to a 2% inflation target. Analysts argue the arithmetic of US debt service makes sustained disinflation politically and fiscally improbable, while separate research questions whether the Fed's preferred PCE gauge is even measuring the economy accurately.

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Central BanksRates & BondsInflationTNXGSPCTIPGLDRead report →

Bond Market Becomes the Swing Factor for Equity Optimism

Strategists question whether fixed income will validate the revived risk appetite in stocks, as low dollar hedge ratios and easing financial conditions complicate the cross-asset picture.

With equities pricing renewed optimism, attention has shifted to whether the bond market will confirm the move. Commentary on unusually low dollar hedge ratios among foreign holders raises the risk of a self-reinforcing currency-and-rates episode, while crypto participants cite easing financial conditions as supportive.

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Rates & BondsEquitiesCrypto & Digital AssetsTNXGSPCDX-Y.NYBBTC-USDETH-USD+1Read report →
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