Dollar, Asia FX Stall as U.S. CPI Looms; Hormuz Tensions Reignite Crude Risk Premium
Currency markets tread water into the U.S. inflation print while renewed friction around the Strait of Hormuz lifts oil, leaving macro desks positioned for a two-sided volatility event.
Asian currencies and the dollar were rangebound ahead of the U.S. consumer price report, with traders unwilling to commit ahead of a print that will shape Federal Reserve expectations. Simultaneously, escalating tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude higher, reintroducing an energy-driven inflation channel just as payroll revisions raise questions about underlying labor market momentum.