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Wall Street now believes the central bank will tame inflation with only modestly higher borrowing costs, according to MarketWatch's read of the decision.
The Federal Open Market Committee under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh raised interest rates, marking the seventh rate-hiking cycle since 1990, and investors are now studying that history for clues on what happens next to stocks.
Wall Street's base case shifts to a no-move September barring a dramatic data surprise, with the greenback's slide moderating into North American hours and equities grinding to fresh highs before futures softened.
Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to stand pat at its September meeting absent an outsized data shock, anchoring rate expectations at a moment when the S&P 500 has already registered an all-time high. The dollar has extended losses but is stabilizing, and Monday futures slipped modestly — a pattern consistent with positioning fatigue rather than a change in macro regime.