BREAKING STORYBEARISH

Walmart's slowest US comparable sales in five years knock the shares

Cheaper prescription drugs and more cautious shoppers held second-quarter US comparable sales growth to 2.6%.

Executive takeaway

Walmart reported 2.6% growth in US comparable sales for its second quarter, its weakest in over five years, and the shares fell on the 20 August session.

Newsroom graphic
Walmart's stumble against the wider US retail tape. Walmart rebased against Costco, Target and the broad retail ETF since May. The story hinges on whether a 2.6% comp is a Walmart problem or a US consumer problem — the relative paths around the 20 August print show which way investors read it.

Walmart's stumble against the wider US retail tape

Walmart rebased against Costco, Target and the broad retail ETF since May. The story hinges on whether a 2.6% comp is a Walmart problem or a US consumer problem — the relative paths around the 20 August print show which way investors read it.

Live market prices for WMT, COST, TGT and XRT, rebased to 100 at the start of the window.

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<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/walmart-s-slowest-us-comparable-sales-in-five-years-knock-the-shares"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/walmart-s-slowest-us-comparable-sales-in-five-years-knock-the-shares/graphic.svg" alt="Walmart's stumble against the wider US retail tape" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>Walmart's stumble against the wider US retail tape — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/walmart-s-slowest-us-comparable-sales-in-five-years-knock-the-shares">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
Walmart said US comparable sales — sales at stores open at least a year — grew 2.6% in its second quarter. That is the slowest pace in more than five years, and it counts as a rare miss for a retailer that has spent the past two years beating expectations. The shares slid on the 20 August session. Two things sit behind the number. Falling prices for prescription drugs cut into the dollar value of pharmacy sales, which are a large and growing part of Walmart's US business. Separately, shoppers pulled back on spending. Price declines flatter unit volumes but hurt the headline sales figure, so a soft comparable number does not automatically mean fewer customers walked in. What is unresolved is which of the two effects dominates. If drug deflation is doing most of the work, the pressure fades once prices stabilise. If households are genuinely trading down, the read extends well beyond Walmart to the rest of US retail, since Walmart is normally the share gainer when budgets tighten.
What would change this view

If Walmart's third-quarter US comparable sales growth returns above 3% and management attributes the second-quarter shortfall solely to pharmacy pricing, the consumer-weakness reading is wrong.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.