MARKET REPORTBEARISH

Wells Fargo Cuts S&P 500 Target, Sees Up to 10% Downside

The bank lowered its year-end target to 7,700 just as separate data show valuations at levels last seen 26 years ago.

Executive takeaway

Wells Fargo cut its S&P 500 target to 7,700 and warned of 5%-10% near-term downside, adding to signs that stretched valuations are drawing scrutiny.

Newsroom graphic
S&P 500's climb sets stage for downside call. The index's recent trajectory shows how far it has run before Wells Fargo's warning of a 5%-10% near-term pullback and a lowered 7,700 year-end target.

S&P 500's climb sets stage for downside call

The index's recent trajectory shows how far it has run before Wells Fargo's warning of a 5%-10% near-term pullback and a lowered 7,700 year-end target.

Live S&P 500 (^GSPC) price history, referenced against Wells Fargo's target cut reported by Yahoo Finance.

Use this chart

Free to embed with attribution:

<figure><a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/wells-fargo-cuts-s-p-500-target-sees-up-to-10-downside"><img src="https://www.indy.finance/news/wells-fargo-cuts-s-p-500-target-sees-up-to-10-downside/graphic.svg" alt="S&P 500's climb sets stage for downside call" width="1200" height="675"></a><figcaption>S&P 500's climb sets stage for downside call — <a href="https://www.indy.finance/news/wells-fargo-cuts-s-p-500-target-sees-up-to-10-downside">Indy Finance</a></figcaption></figure>
Wells Fargo lowered its S&P 500 price target to 7,700 and told clients to brace for a 5%-10% pullback in the near term, according to a note covered by Yahoo Finance on the September 20 session. The call lands alongside a separate analysis showing the index trading at a valuation not seen in 26 years, a level some strategists argue has historically preceded sharp corrections. The caution comes as Federal Reserve officials keep pushing back on the idea that inflation is beaten. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said inflation remains too high and told Fox News the problem extends beyond oil prices, an argument that undercuts the case for aggressive rate cuts investors have been pricing in. What is unresolved is timing. Wells Fargo's downside case is framed as near-term, not a change in its longer-run outlook, and the bank did not specify a date by which the pullback should materialize.
What would change this view

If the S&P 500 does not fall at least 5% from current levels before Wells Fargo revisits the call, the bank's near-term downside warning will have failed to play out.

Wire sources cited

Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.