FedEx Corporation (FDX) research: valuation against peers, fundamentals over time, risk and news coverage
Only 2 resolved forecasts on record — below the 6-period threshold, so no verdict is published.
n = 2 resolved forecasts · FY 2023 to Q2 FY2023 · 5 still outstanding
Insufficient sample — no verdict published. FDX has 2 resolved forecasts on record, below the 6 needed before we will characterise a management team’s forecasting. The record below is published in full; the company is excluded from every ranking on this site until it clears the threshold.
Next report expected 17 Sept 2026 (Q1 FY2027) — Estimated from the issuer's own filing history: FY2026Q1 results were released on 2025-09-18. source
| Period | Measure | Guided | Issued | Reported | Landed | Deviation | Verdict | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2026revised | EPS (adj.) | $19.30–$20.10 | 2026-03-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “$19.30 to $20.10 after also excluding costs related to the planned spin-off of FedEx Freight, business optimization initiatives, the planned change in the company's fiscal year end, and an international regulatory matter, compared to the prior forecast of $17.80 to $19.00” | ||||||||
| FY 2026 | EPS | $16.05–$16.85 | 2026-03-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Diluted earnings per share of $16.05 to $16.85 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $14.80 to $16.00” | ||||||||
| FY 2026revised | EPS (adj.) | $14.80–$16.00 | 2025-12-18 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Diluted earnings per share of $14.80 to $16.00 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $14.20 to $16.00” | ||||||||
| FY 2026 | EPS (adj.) | $14.20–$16.00 | 2025-09-18 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Diluted earnings per share of $14.20 to $16.00 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments, and $17.20 to $19.00 after also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, the planned spin-off of FedEx Freight, and the planned change in the company's fiscal year end;” | ||||||||
| FY 2025revised | EPS (adj.) | $18.00–$18.60 | 2025-03-20 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “$18.00 to $18.60 per share after excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, international regulatory and legacy FedEx Ground legal matters, and the planned spin-off of FedEx Freight, compared to the prior forecast of $19.00 to $20.00 per share” | ||||||||
| FY 2025revised | EPS | $15.15–$15.75 | 2025-03-20 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Diluted EPS of $15.15 to $15.75 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $16.45 to $17.45 per share” | ||||||||
| FY 2025revised | EPS (adj.) | $19.00–$20.00 | 2024-12-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “and $19.00 to $20.00 per share after also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, compared to the prior forecast of $20.00 to $21.00 per share;” | ||||||||
| FY 2025 | EPS | $16.45–$17.45 | 2024-12-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Diluted EPS of $16.45 to $17.45 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $17.90 to $18.90 per share;” | ||||||||
| FY 2025 | EPS (adj.) | $17.90–$18.90 | 2024-09-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $17.90 to $18.90 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments compared to the prior forecast of $18.25 to $20.25 per share; and $20.00 to $21.00 per share after also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, compared to the prior forecast of $20.00 to $22.00 per share;” | ||||||||
| FY 2024revised | EPS (adj.) | $15.65–$16.65 | 2024-03-21 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $15.65 to $16.65 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments, compared to the prior forecast of $15.35 to $16.85 per diluted share;” | ||||||||
| FY 2024revised | EPS (adj.) | $15.35–$16.85 | 2023-12-19 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $15.35 to $16.85 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments, compared to the prior forecast of $15.10 to $16.60 per diluted share;” | ||||||||
| FY 2024revised | EPS (adj.) | $15.10–$16.60 | 2023-09-20 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $15.10 to $16.60 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments, compared to the prior forecast of $15.00 to $17.00;” | ||||||||
| FY 2024 | EPS (adj.) | $15.00–$17.00 | 2023-06-20 | — | — | — | PENDING | guidance |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $15.00 to $17.00 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments and $16.50 to $18.50 after also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives;” | ||||||||
| Q2 FY2023revised | Revenue | $23.50–$24.00bn | 2022-09-22 | $22.8bn | −2.9% | BELOW | guidance · result | |
| “Second quarter fiscal 2023 revenue of $23.5 to $24.0 billion;” | ||||||||
| Q2 FY2023 | Revenue | $23.50–$24.00bn | 2022-09-15 | $22.8bn | −2.9% | BELOW | guidance · result | |
| “For the second quarter of fiscal 2023, FedEx is currently expecting revenue of $23.5 billion to $24.0 billion, earnings per diluted share of $2.65 or greater, and earnings per diluted share excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives and business realignment activities of $2.75 or greater.” | ||||||||
| FY 2023revised | EPS (adj.) | $13.80–$14.40 | 2023-03-16 | $14.96 | +4.0% | ABOVE | guidance · result | |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $13.80 to $14.40 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments, compared to the prior forecast of $12.50 to $13.50 per diluted share” | ||||||||
| FY 2023 | EPS (adj.) | $12.50–$13.50 | 2022-12-20 | $14.96 | +11.2% | ABOVE | guidance · result | |
| “Earnings per diluted share of $12.50 to $13.50 before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments;” | ||||||||
Every figure above is read from the company’s own filings. “Guidance” links to the 8-K exhibit that issued the forecast; “result” links to the exhibit in which the company reported the outcome. Nothing here is an analyst estimate. How this is measured.
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