MARKET REPORT
Gold Steadies After 6% September Drop as Soft PCE Data Eases Fed Hike Bets
The metal's slide last month marked one of its sharpest monthly declines in years before stabilizing as inflation data reduced rate-hike expectations.
Executive takeaway
Gold prices were little changed after falling 6% in September, as a softer-than-expected U.S. PCE inflation reading reduced bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Gold prices held roughly steady at the start of the new month after sliding 6% in September, according to Investing.com. The slide had been one of the metal's sharpest monthly declines in recent memory, and traders are now watching whether the softer U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation reading, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, will stabilize prices.
The PCE data came in weaker than expected, which investors read as reducing the odds of additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Lower rate-hike expectations typically support gold, which pays no yield and becomes more attractive when borrowing costs are expected to stay low or fall.
Elsewhere in currency and rate markets, the dollar got a lift from higher yields, a dynamic that can work against gold even as rate-hike bets ease. The tension between these two forces — softer inflation data pulling in gold's favor, higher yields pulling against it — remains unresolved heading into October.
What would change this view
If the next PCE inflation report, due in coming weeks, surprises to the upside and revives Fed rate-hike expectations, gold's current stabilization would likely reverse.
Wire sources cited
- Investing.com — All NewsDollar gets lift from higher yieldsExternal ↗
- Investing.com — All NewsGold little changed after 6% September slide as softer U.S. PCE cuts Fed hike betsExternal ↗
Produced automatically by the INDY NEWS Desk from the public wire sources cited above, and checked against them before publication. Market commentary, not investment advice.