Payrolls, jobless claims, wage data and the employment side of the policy mandate.
18 report(s) in the archive
Analysts point to five separate factors that could let the Fed raise rates despite a soft September payrolls print.
Despite a weak September jobs report, several analysts argue the Federal Reserve still has room to tighten policy, citing factors beyond the headline payrolls number.
Treasurys briefly rallied as safe-haven buyers returned after the September jobs report, before yields pushed back higher.
The September jobs report briefly revived Treasurys as a safe haven, but bond investors quickly lost their enthusiasm for the weak labor data, according to MarketWatch.
Traders priced in fewer Fed rate hikes after hiring cooled more than expected, pulling yields down and lifting Wall Street at the open.
Wall Street opened higher on October 2 as a softer September payrolls report reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes and pushed Treasury yields lower.
A stronger-than-expected payrolls print could add pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise rates again in October, according to MarketWatch's reading of the setup.
Treasury strategists are watching the upcoming jobs report as a potential trigger for a fresh climb in 10-year and 30-year yields, with a hot print seen as adding pressure on the Fed to hike again in October.
Porsche's CEO told staff no further job cuts are planned, but investors kept selling both stocks a day after the warning.
Volkswagen and Porsche shares extended losses for a second session after Porsche's profit warning, even as its CEO moved to reassure employees that no additional layoffs are planned.
Schmid says inflation risk outweighs labor market softening, a hawkish outlier as investors had been pricing further easing.
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said the central bank should raise rates to curb inflation, breaking from the market's expectation of further cuts.
A last-minute agreement between management and labor unions heads off a broader confrontation even as the company presses ahead with cuts.
Volkswagen reached a deal with labor representatives that averts an immediate showdown over job cuts, though the reductions themselves are still going ahead.
The bank cited a resilient labor market as the reason it no longer expects the Federal Reserve to ease before mid-2027.
Citi moved its forecast for the next Federal Reserve rate cut to June 2027, citing a jobs market that keeps beating expectations.
The August jobs report showed hiring accelerating from July's pace, undercutting warnings that the labor market was rolling over.
The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in August, coming in ahead of expectations and marking what analysts called a modest improvement from prior months.
Seeking Alpha commentary diverges sharply on the same report, with some seeing higher-for-longer rates and others seeing weaker underlying hiring.
Three separate reads of the August jobs report reached opposite conclusions, with headline job growth read as either confirming sticky inflation risk or masking softer underlying hiring.
August payrolls data missed expectations at the same time a strong US jobs report pushed the dollar higher, widening the gap between the two currencies.
Canada's August jobs report showed a sharp slowdown that pushed bond yields lower on rate-cut bets while the Canadian dollar fell against a dollar strengthened by a robust US payrolls print.
A seven-month low in private job growth reshaped rate expectations and lifted Asian currencies against the dollar.
Traders cut the odds of a September Federal Reserve rate increase to a coin flip after private-sector hiring data showed job growth at its slowest pace in seven months.
Kevin Warsh and other Fed voices argue a rate increase is still likely despite job losses in August, a break from the usual playbook.
Commentary from Kevin Warsh and wire analysis suggest the Federal Reserve may raise rates in September even though the August jobs report showed job declines, a combination that would surprise investors expecting cuts.
An inflation print that removed tail risk failed to generate upside momentum, shifting the burden of proof onto the Federal Reserve's communication calendar and the next labour market read.
Bitcoin drifted toward $63,500 after a consensus inflation report neutralised the immediate policy risk premium without providing a catalyst for fresh buying. Traders have rotated attention to Jackson Hole, upcoming payrolls and the next CPI release as the decisive tests for risk appetite. Rates strategists simultaneously argue inflation is both central and peripheral to the fixed income narrative.
US index futures were little changed before a key inflation report, with a weakening jobs picture feeding expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
A weaker-than-expected US payrolls report cut market-implied odds of further Fed tightening, while unresolved tensions around the Strait of Hormuz kept crude firm and gold near a seven-week high. Investors now turn to US CPI.
The FTSE 100 and continental indices slipped as traders weighed reported Iranian pressure on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz against a weakening U.S. labour market picture.
A monthly survey from the Recruitment and Employment Confederation and KPMG points to stabilisation in Britain's labour market.