Rates & Bonds

Sovereign and credit markets: yield curves, auctions, duration risk, spreads and the cost of money.

143 report(s) in the archive

Bond Traders Bracing For a Jobs Report That Could Push 30-Year Yields Higher

A stronger-than-expected payrolls print could add pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise rates again in October, according to MarketWatch's reading of the setup.

Treasury strategists are watching the upcoming jobs report as a potential trigger for a fresh climb in 10-year and 30-year yields, with a hot print seen as adding pressure on the Fed to hike again in October.

MARKET REPORTBEARISH

Bond volatility hits six-month high as 10-year yield rises for sixth straight week

Fixed-income swings are running at their most intense level since March even as stock and crypto volatility gauges sit near yearly lows.

The 10-year Treasury yield has now risen for six consecutive weeks, and bond market volatility has climbed to its highest level since March, even as Wall Street's VIX and bitcoin's equivalent volatility gauges stay near their yearly lows.

MARKET REPORTBEARISH

Dollar Hits Two-Month High as US Flash PMI Signals Fastest Growth in Five Years

Stronger-than-expected September activity data revived inflation and rate-hike bets, pushing the dollar to its strongest level since July and sending Japanese bond yields to a 30-year high.

The U.S. flash PMI for September pointed to the fastest growth in more than five years, reviving inflation fears and pushing the dollar to a two-month high while Japanese 10-year bond yields hit a 30-year high on bets for more Bank of Japan rate hikes.

MARKET REPORT

10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5% as PMI Data Beats, Tech Stocks Retreat

A blowout September PMI report revived bets that the Federal Reserve has less room to cut rates, sending long-term borrowing costs to their highest level in months.

The 10-year Treasury yield spiked above 5.00% after U.S. Services PMI data surged past expectations, pressuring technology shares as investors reassessed the pace of future Fed rate cuts.

MARKET REPORT

Bitcoin and Ether Rally as Treasury Yields Ease, Tech Stocks Follow

Bitcoin traded toward $108,000 and Ethereum broke above $2,672 as falling bond yields lifted risk assets, with Strategy adding $75 million more bitcoin to its holdings.

Bitcoin pushed toward the $108,000 level and Ethereum broke above $2,672 in the September 21 session as easing Treasury yields boosted both crypto and tech stocks, while Strategy bought another $75 million of bitcoin.

MARKET REPORTBULLISH
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